Bitcoin Price Modeling

This page contains background on the modeling platform that I developed (with Dennis Porter at Satoshi Action Education). The model is evolving: the first version was published here: https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18020066

In August 2025, we released an updated version: the working paper is available here: https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5386623

The posts below provide non-technical background on the framework and examples of how it can be applied to develop specific models that vary in their underlying assumptions or probe the impacts of specific supply and demand shocks.