Original Research

The breadth of knowledge required to answer key questions highlights the need to build research capacity, encourage collaborative cross-sectoral and -disciplinary research, and develop a prioritized research agenda.

How high could Bitcoin’s price go – and what drives it there? This interactive tool lets you explore one answer to that question by adjusting the key economic assumptions behind a peer-reviewed supply-demand model of Bitcoin price formation.

Our new study explores a novel integration of Bitcoin mining with landfill gas-to-energy (LFGTE) projects to enhance methane mitigation efforts.

Full article summary: Rudd, M.A., 2023. Bitcoin is full of surprises. Challenges 14, 27. In this article - my own from 2023 - I explore how a Pragmatist approach can bridge left-leaning progressive values with Bitcoin’s diverse potential benefits, particularly in areas important to progressives.

This paper presents a 2025 horizon scan that adapts the logic of key questions exercises to Bitcoin-centric long-form podcast and interview discourse, drawing on 2,297 episodes to infer policy-salient research priorities.

Introduction to our Bitcoin price modeling framework for non-technical readers, with example of the impact of a single 500,000 Bitcoin purchase

Our Bitcoin price forecast framework is based on aggregate market supply and demand ‘working together’ to figure out equilibrium prices.

We develop a bottom-up, quantity-clearing model of Bitcoin price formation that couples its fixed 21-million-coin cap with plausible demand growth and execution behavior.

I used an AI-assisted ‘key questions’ approach to: (1) analyze transcriptions from 1,818 Bitcoin podcast episodes from 2024; (2) identify Bitcoin-oriented threats and opportunities; and (3) create and refine a list of 100 policy-salient Bitcoin research questions.

I recently led the writing for a Satoshi Action Education report, coauthored with Eric Peterson and Dennis Porter, entitled “Strategic portfolio allocations for financial resilience: a counterfactual analysis of Bitcoin and gold in US state Rainy Day Funds.” Eric had the idea for this project, which asked ‘what if’ US

I’m happy to announce that we have a new working paper from Satoshi Action Education! It is pretty light on math, so I’m not giving a full summary here - just click on the link in the citation below to go to SSRN and download the paper there. Citation: Rudd

A Bitcoin science roadmap could identify research priorities and capacity-building opportunities across environmental, social, financial, economic, and security dimensions

This post gives a non-technical summary of our new Satoshi Action working paper. We developed a Bitcoin supply-and-demand framework and model for forecasting Bitcoin price trajectories out to 2036.

Full article summary: Rudd, M.A., 2024. 40 questions for shaping a policy-salient Bitcoin research agenda, SSRN preprint.

This paper explores possibilities for integrating artificial intelligence (AI) into horizon scanning and key question exercises to navigate the challenges posed by emerging technologies.

This paper explores possibilities for integrating artificial intelligence (AI) into horizon scanning and key question exercises to navigate the challenges posed by emerging technologies.

Our findings suggest that Bitcoin mining can help reduce wasted renewable energy, provide financial benefits to renewable energy producers, and lower electricity prices for consumers.