Bitcoin supply, demand, and price dynamics
We develop a bottom-up, quantity-clearing model of Bitcoin price formation that couples its fixed 21-million-coin cap with plausible demand growth and execution behavior.
Latest
Draft Bitcoin horizon scan book online
Leveraging a modified, AI-assisted horizon scanning approach and analysis of 1,900 hours of 2024 Bitcoin-focused podcasts distilled with LLMs, it converts thousands of raw “threats and opportunities” into a preliminary research agenda.
Institutional Anchoring and the End of Bitcoin’s Four-Year Cycle
The August 12, 2025 episode of Supply Shock features Adrian Morris arguing that Bitcoin’s historic four-year cycle may be giving way to a slower, stair-step rise driven by ETF adoption, corporate treasuries, and reduced volatility.
Bitcoin, Gold, and Reserve Strategy
The August 13, 2025 episode of the Archie Podcast features Dominic Frisby explaining how Bitcoin and gold operate as complementary hedges against fiat debasement.
Paper Bitcoin Risks, Proof-of-Reserves, and Treasury Strategy Pitfalls
The August 09, 2025 episode of Simply Bitcoin IRL features CJ Konstantinos explaining how institutional futures shorting creates “paper Bitcoin” that can dampen spot market gains, and why proof-of-reserves is essential to protect market integrity.
Pacific Northwest Bitcoin Mining Constraints and Growth Paths
The August 12, 2025 episode of The Mining Pod features Beau Turner explaining how low-cost hydro power in the Pacific Northwest contrasts with restrictive Bonneville Power Administration rate structures and a legacy of strained utility relations.
Balancing Bitcoin’s Cultural Roots with Financialization Pressures
The July 21, 2025 episode of What Bitcoin Did features Thomas Pacchia examining how Bitcoin’s increasing integration with corporate treasuries, ETFs, and Wall Street narratives could erode its founding ethos of privacy, self-sovereignty, and “freedom money.”
Bitcoin mining
Off-Grid Bitcoin Mining and Data Sovereignty
The February 27, 2026 episode of The Bitcoin Way features HODL Tarantula explaining how modular, off-grid Bitcoin mining infrastructure monetizes stranded energy while avoiding grid and regulatory chokepoints.
Gold, Silver and Bitcoin in a $350T Debt World
The February 24, 2026 episode of Kitco News features Frank Holmes assessing how a $350 trillion global debt overhang is reshaping demand for gold, silver, and Bitcoin.
Bitcoin Awareness, Calendars, and Real Ownership
The February 20, 2026 episode of The Bitcoin Way features TC explaining how his Timechain Calendar project visualizes Bitcoin’s blocks, difficulty adjustments, and supply dynamics.
Monetizing the Megawatt: Bitcoin Mining in the Age of AI
The February 17, 2026 episode of the Stephan Livera Podcast features Rob Warren discussing how AI data center demand is reshaping Bitcoin mining economics and grid relationships.
Bitcoin Mining, Grid Flexibility, and the AI Power Surge
The February 09, 2026 episode of Bitcoin for Millennials features Adam Swick explaining how Bitcoin mining can function as a rapidly interruptible electricity load that supports grid stability and improves the economics of energy infrastructure.
Bitcoin Mining’s Shift Toward AI Infrastructure
The January 30, 2026 episode of the Galaxy Brains podcast features Will Foxley explaining how compressed Bitcoin mining margins are accelerating a pivot toward AI data center infrastructure.
When Currency Confidence Breaks: Cascades, Mining Shifts, and Quantum Risk
The January 21, 2026 episode of the Brandon Gentile Show features Matt Prusak explaining why Bitcoin adoption accelerates through social preference cascades rather than single political or market catalysts.
Macro trends
Gold, Silver and Bitcoin in a $350T Debt World
The February 24, 2026 episode of Kitco News features Frank Holmes assessing how a $350 trillion global debt overhang is reshaping demand for gold, silver, and Bitcoin.
Safe Havens, Gold, and Custody Risk in Bitcoin
The February 23, 2026 episode of the Robin Seyr Podcast features Michael Tanguma assessing whether Bitcoin’s sharp drawdown reflects broken fundamentals or a temporary dislocation.
Bitcoin, Gold and the Global Liquidity Cycle
The February 24, 2026 episode of the Archie Podcast features Andre Dragosch analyzing why Bitcoin has halved from its October 2025 peak despite strong institutional demand and continued global liquidity.
AI Deflation and the Repricing of Growth
The February 22, 2026 episode of the Jordi Visser Podcast features Jordi arguing that artificial intelligence is structurally repricing growth assets across public and private markets.
Japan’s Bitcoin Treasury Bridge
The February 20, 2026 episode of the Robin Seyr Podcast features Phil Geiger outlining how Metaplanet channels Japan’s $15 trillion retirement and savings pool toward Bitcoin.
Bitcoin’s Disappointing Cycle and the Path to Renewed Demand
The February 17, 2026 episode of Coin Stories features Lyn Alden arguing that Bitcoin’s latest cycle underperformed because topline demand remained weak despite supportive liquidity signals.
Gold Repricing, Bond Fragility, and Scarce Asset Rotation
The January 28, 2026 episode of the Scarce Assets podcast features Jeroen Blokland explaining why gold’s move toward $5,000 reflects a structural repricing driven by debt rollover dynamics, central bank intervention, and geopolitical stress.