Bitcoin price model

This adjustable supply-demand price model - based on our 2025 peer-reviewed price modeling paper, Bitcoin Supply, Demand, and Price Dynamics, allows you to test how different parameter assumptions influence price trajectory over the model's time horizon (out to 7th halving in 2036).

Read more background about how to use it (and some early lessons from the market) in the companion blog post. The model code is available at Github.

Note: I have the y-axis capped at $25 million. If your parameter combo hits that, it means there is hyperbolic price increase as liquid supply gets depleted below 1-2 million Bitcoin.

I will be preparing addtional blog posts and YouTube videos on Bitcoin price modeling, so make sure you sign up (for free) to the Bitcoin Distillery to receive updates.