Research area
The October 02, 2025 episode of Bitcoin for Millennials features Pius Sprenger outlining how post-2008 distortions continue to channel demand toward non-sovereign money and why Bitcoin’s fundamental risk falls as network scale grows.
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The March 28, 2025 episode of Mr. M Podcast featuring Stephen Perrenod delivers a rigorous quantitative analysis of Bitcoin’s price dynamics, contrasting flawed stock-to-flow models with power law and quantile regression methods.
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The March 12, 2025 episode of TFTC features Matthew Mezinskis dissecting Bitcoin’s unique growth dynamics, emphasizing its power law model and the influence of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve on market legitimacy.
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The February 13, 2025 episode of the Brandon Gentile Podcast featuring Giovanni Santostasi explores Bitcoin’s power law dynamics in both price and network adoption.
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In this post, I offer an opinion & deep dive into Bitcoin’s “power law” claims, rigorously examining whether the extreme price movements observed in Bitcoin’s history truly follow a heavy-tailed distribution.
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The December 2, 2024 episode of the Stephan Livera Podcast features Plan C and Sminston discussing Bitcoin's long-term price behavior using the power law model, emphasizing its predictive reliability.
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Full article summary: Newman, M.E.J., 2005. Power laws, Pareto distributions and Zipf's law. Contemporary Physics 46, 323-351. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00107510500052444
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The November 29, 2024 episode of the Rajat Soni podcast features Sina explaining Bitcoin’s historical adherence to the power law model, its declining volatility, and the transformative impact of network effects.
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The November 25, 2024, episode of the Stephan Livera Podcast features Sina discussing the statistical modeling of Bitcoin’s price using the power law and the unique role of MicroStrategy as a corporate vehicle for Bitcoin exposure.
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The November 7, 2024 episode of the 21st Capital podcast features Giovanni Santostasi explaining his updated power law model, which outlines Bitcoin’s predictable long-term growth path through network-driven dynamics.
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The October 20, 2024 episode of the Tim Kotzman podcast features Dan Hillery discussing the role of MicroStrategy as an equity built on a new financial system, calling it a “call option on the future of Bitcoin” due to its heavy Bitcoin holdings and its potential for sustained growth.
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The October 17, 2024 episode of The Bitcoin Layer features astrophysicist Stephen Perrenod exploring the long-term growth trajectory of Bitcoin through a mathematical lens, featuring the power law.
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