GPT-4 capability atlas and AGI sparks
Explore how early GPT-4 shows unprecedented cross-domain breadth but exposes profound architectural limits in planning and explanation fidelity.
Read the analysisResearch area
Technological advance
Research and commentary on technological advance, innovation, institutional latency, and the economic and governance consequences of fast systems
AI levels the experience curve in customer support
Explore how a GPT-3 assistant compresses productivity, accelerating novice learning and leveling the experience curve in customer support.
Read the analysis
When robots enter sacred institutions
Explore how Buddhist institutions delegate ritual work to robots while retaining human authority over high-risk religious functions.
Read the analysis
Increasing Returns and Lock-In
Explore stochastic models that demonstrate how increasing returns & historical events drive unpredictable technological lock-in
Read the analysis
Early computers and the direction of science
Explore how early digital computers redirected U.S. university research by relaxing computational constraints in numerically intensive fields.
Read the analysis
The Architecture of Global Abundance
In the August 19, 2026, episode of the Century of Plenty Podcast, Sven Smit, Chris Bradley, Nick Leung, and Marc Canal argue that achieving an 8.5x global economy is constrained by cultural mindsets and regulatory friction rather than physical limits.
Read the analysis
Strategic Realignment in the US-China Artificial Intelligence Race
In the August 18, 2026 episode of Moonshots with Peter Diamandis, guest Alvin Graylin argues that the US-China artificial intelligence race is fundamentally mischaracterized as a zero-sum competition.
Read the analysis
AI's jagged frontier helps and harms knowledge workers
Explore how GPT-4 access improved consulting output quality and speed on some tasks while reducing correctness on others in a field experiment.
Read the analysis
Automation, new tasks, and the labor share
Explore how task-based automation displaces labor, why new tasks stabilize the labor share, and the risks of so-so AI and excessive automation.
Read the analysis
Choosing Between Automation and Pro-Worker AI
On July 16, 2026, Daron Acemoglu told Jon Hernandez AI that AI's economic consequences will depend on whether development prioritizes automation or expands workers' capabilities.
Read the analysis
Bitcoin as Protocol, Custody, and Monetary Transition
The March 12, 2026 Brandon Gentile interview with Jeff Booth frames Bitcoin as a protocol repricing all assets rather than a dollar-denominated investment vehicle.
Read the analysis
AI Job Dislocation (and Bitcoin’s Monetary Relevance)
The March 7, 2026 episode of the Peter H. Diamandis Podcast features Andrew Yang arguing that AI-driven job loss is outrunning political adaptation and destabilizing the social contract.
Read the analysis