Macroeconomic Limits of AI: A Task-Based Review
Explore how a task-based model constrains AI productivity forecasts to modest ten-year total factor productivity gains, highlighting GDP and welfare divergence.
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Author
Murray Rudd
Dr. Murray Rudd is an applied environmental economist and policy researcher. His full attention is now on the economic, social, technical, and environmental impacts and potential of emerging technologies.
Strategic Realignment in Global Offshore Wind Development
In an August 2026 Norges Bank Investment Management podcast, Ørsted CEO Rasmus Errboe details the offshore wind sector’s transition from rapid cost reduction to a period of severe macroeconomic and regulatory volatility.
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Technocratic Surveillance and Decentralized Financial Defenses
In the August 19, 2026, broadcast of You're The Voice, Freddie New argues that the UK government is deploying child safety pretexts to construct a pervasive surveillance and financial repression apparatus.
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The Architecture of Global Abundance
In the August 19, 2026, episode of the Century of Plenty Podcast, Sven Smit, Chris Bradley, Nick Leung, and Marc Canal argue that achieving an 8.5x global economy is constrained by cultural mindsets and regulatory friction rather than physical limits.
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Strategic Realignment in the US-China Artificial Intelligence Race
In the August 18, 2026 episode of Moonshots with Peter Diamandis, guest Alvin Graylin argues that the US-China artificial intelligence race is fundamentally mischaracterized as a zero-sum competition.
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Emergent AI Misalignment and the Case for Pacing Frontier Development
In the August 18, 2026 episode of The Ezra Klein Show, Helen Toner argues that mid-2026 AI incidents confirm the long-predicted alignment problem has moved from theory to practice.
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Private Capital and the Expanding Global Infrastructure Opportunity
On August 12, 2026, McKinsey & Company's Inside the Strategy Room features Alastair Green and Adrian Kwok arguing that global infrastructure investment of $106 trillion through 2040 is shifting from public funding toward private capital.
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AI's jagged frontier helps and harms knowledge workers
Explore how GPT-4 access improved consulting output quality and speed on some tasks while reducing correctness on others in a field experiment.
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Automation, new tasks, and the labor share
Explore how task-based automation displaces labor, why new tasks stabilize the labor share, and the risks of so-so AI and excessive automation.
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Crypto-carbon connectedness across market states and horizons
Explore how state- and horizon-dependent volatility spillovers reshape crypto-carbon risk and limit universal safe-haven claims.
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The Grid as the Binding Constraint on AI Compute Growth
In the August 15, 2026 episode of Moonshots with Peter Diamandis, Ramez Naam argues that electricity delivery infrastructure, rather than generation capacity or energy cost, is the binding constraint on AI buildout.
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AI, Digital Twins, and the Engineering of Longer Healthy Lives
On July 22, 2026, FoundMyFitness podcast guest Derya Unutmaz argued that AI could accelerate medicine enough to extend healthy life substantially.
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